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降息說明書來了! Fed利率預期點陣圖本周攤牌
Mar 16, 2024 ... ... 預期「點陣圖」。 由於日前出爐的CPI與PPI數據,顯示美國通膨依然棘手,市場憂心物價壓力難減,恐將影響Fed未來一周決策。加上包括股票期權、指數期權 ...
Fed meeting today: Interest rates hold steady with 3 cuts seen in '24
Mar 20, 2024 ... ... rate today is 8.5%. - USA TODAY/Blueprint. Fed dot plot today. The Fed's dot plot can be found in the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections ...
The Federal Reserve's latest dot plot, explained – and what it says ...
3 days ago ... ... Fed officials can't always predict the future. The Fed's new median rate projection for 2024 signals just one rate cut. After the Federal ...
联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC) - 美联储观察(FedWatch) - 美国- 主题 ...
FOMC经济预测解读:年初通胀反弹不足以改变降息路径,点阵图依然维持年内三次降息的预期 · 美联储观察 | 2023.12.14 03:45 | 主题:FOMC经济预测/点阵图解读 · FOMC政策 ...
Stocks surge after Fed indicates three rate cuts still coming this year ...
Mar 20, 2024 ... ... Projections includes a chart that is colloquially known as the dot plot. which shows (in a series of dots) where each of the central bank's ...
降息預測普遍推遲,市場關注Fed本週對通膨和縮表表態
Mar 18, 2024 ... 與此同時,去年財政刺激的效應減弱,美國經濟可能出現“不著陸”的情況,並影響Fed降息進程。 惠譽評級的首席經濟學家庫爾頓(Brian Coulton)表示,具有黏性 ...
Will 2024 Mortgage Rates Fall? Clues from Wednesday's Fed ...
Mar 22, 2024 ... ... federal funds rate will be at the end of 2024, 2025, and 2026. The dot plot released Wednesday shows a median forecast of three rate ...
一文掌握Fed重點決策:鷹派利率點陣圖、明年降息空間縮小、軟著陸 ...
Sep 21, 2023 ... 重點三:經濟預測調整. 以核心個人消費支出(PCE) 物價指數衡量的2023 年預期通膨率也下降至3.7%, ...
Fed meeting today: Live updates on March Fed rate decision
Mar 20, 2024 ... ... forecast for three interest rate cuts. ... Market strategist: 'Investors are relieved to see three cuts stay in the dot plot' ... Fed's dot plot of ...
Fed連續七次按兵不動,點陣圖顯示今年僅降息一次、明年四次
3 days ago ... 這是根據Fed在6月11日至12日會議結束時週三公布的新經濟預測中值得出的,同時人們普遍預計Fed將決定將政策利率維持在5.25%-5.5%的區間內。 根據預測中值, ...
Fed leaves rates unchanged, sees only one 2024 cut despite ...
3 days ago ... The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday and pushed out the start of rate cuts to perhaps as late as December as ...
June 2024 Fed Meeting: Fed Maintains Current Policy Rate, Sees ...
2 days ago ... A significant data point in the dot plot shows a year-end median Federal funds forecast of 5.1%, which implies that there will be just one 25 ...
FOMC 是什麼?3 月FOMC 會議預測今年降息幾次?FOMC 最新Fed ...
Mar 22, 2024 ... 儘管年初的通膨數據強於預期,但最新的利率點陣圖顯示,Fed 仍預計今年將降息三次,市場解讀為Fed 鴿派立場並未動搖,利率決議公布後,美股與黃金短線拉 ...
Markets Brief: Why You Should Watch the Dot Plots at the Fed's ...
Mar 15, 2024 ... ... interest-rate forecasts. In December, the median Fed forecast called for three rate cuts in 2024. However, with the economy staying strong ...
美联储2024年议息会议时间表| CMC Markets
Jan 12, 2024 ... ... :首次降息的影响 ... 虽然美联储12月的点阵图预测显示联邦基金利率或 ... 通过最新的数据我们可以看到美国的经济依旧保持韧性(高于预期的12月就业和通胀数据 ...
Fed to cut rates twice this year, starting September - Reuters poll ...
Jun 5, 2024 ... Some economists think the Fed's latest quarterly "dot plot" projection, due this month, would show two or fewer rate cuts for this year, down ...
Fed to leave rates unchanged on Sept. 20; cut unlikely before Q2 ...
Sep 13, 2023 ... 20 FOMC meeting, we would not be surprised to see most officials continue to project one more rate hike by year-end in their updated 'dot plot,' ...
台灣股票神童-台灣交通大學生物科技學院
22 hours ago ... ... Fed 應該放心降息的地步。這可能會讓關於6 月降息的辯論持續下去,更直接的是,這會影響Fed 下一次會議發布的點陣圖預測,我們可能會討論降息次數少於 ...
Fed Meeting Today: FOMC Keeps Rates Steady; Projects Just One ...
2 days ago ... Officials' collective forecast for interest rates now implies only one quarter-point cut by the end of 2024, a significant shift from ...
Summary of Economic Projections, September 20, 2023
Sep 20, 2023 ... This approach to the construction of the federal funds rate fan chart would be merely a convention; it would not have any implications for ...
FED點陣圖是什麼? 從FED點陣圖解析長期利率可能趨勢
此次FOMC會議升息3碼不出市場預期,但是其提供的點陣圖與經濟預測語彙後記者會成為昨天美股下殺的重要因素。 先說結論:升息節奏完全取決於甚麼時候通膨降回2%,在那之前不 ...
June 2024 Fed Dot Plot Sees 2.25-Point Rate Cut by 2026 ...
3 days ago ... ... rate cuts there will be in 2024, but that's not what's really important. We believe the longer-term course of interest rates should be of ...
Fed sees three rate cuts in 2024 but a more shallow easing path ...
Mar 21, 2024 ... The Fed also left interest rates unchanged and released new quarterly economic projections that showed officials now expect the economy to grow ...
央行專區- 美國聯準會FED
美國聯準會FED 經濟預測. 經濟預測 利率點陣圖. 2024-Q2; 2024-Q1; 2023-Q4; 2023-Q3; 2023-Q2; 2023-Q1; 2022-Q4; 2022-Q3; 2022-Q2; 2022-Q1; 2021-Q4; 2021-Q3; 2021-Q2 ...
The Fed's Dot Plots Are A Cautionary Tale For Interest Rate Fortune ...
Dec 22, 2023 ... Interest rates have increased dramatically over the past two years. Pundits predict that rates will fall in 2024. Will they be correct?
Summary of Economic Projections, March 20, 2024
Mar 20, 2024 ... Economic projections of Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents, under their individual assumptions of projected ...
The Federal Reserve's Dual Mandate - Federal Reserve Bank of ...
Oct 20, 2020 ... The monetary policy goals of the Federal Reserve are to foster economic conditions that achieve both stable prices and maximum sustainable ...
Understanding the Federal Reserve's Dot Plot | Charles Schwab
How to decipher the Fed's quarterly "dot-plot" chart. Understanding the Federal Reserve's Dot Plot.
Dot Plot: Definition, Types, and Uses in Statistics
A dot plot or dot chart consists of data points plotted on a graph. The Federal Reserve uses dot plots to show its predicted interest rate outlook.
Banking Act of 1933 (Glass-Steagall) | Federal Reserve History
June 16, 1933. The Glass-Steagall Act effectively separated commercial banking from investment banking and created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, ...
The Federal Reserve's Dot Plot Offers a Window to Interest Rate ...
Apr 2, 2024 ... If you pay attention to news on the economy you've likely read about the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate known as the federal funds rate.
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK - Serving the Second ...
As part of our core mission, we supervise and regulate financial institutions in the Second District. Our primary objective is to maintain a safe and ...
Federal Reserve economic projections: What are they good for ...
Nov 28, 2016 ... fed-dot-plot. The SEP is released shortly ... The SEP provides indirect information about the FOMC reaction's function ... Federal Reserve Improving ...
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
A stable economy for all. That's our goal at the Cleveland Fed. Serving the Fourth Federal Reserve District, we strive to ensure the health of our monetary ...
Summary of Economic Projections, December 13, 2023
Dec 13, 2023 ... One participant did not submit longer-run projections for the change in real GDP, the unemployment rate, or the federal funds rate in ...
The Fed - Federal Open Market Committee
The term "monetary policy" refers to the actions undertaken by a central bank, such as the Federal Reserve, to influence the availability and cost of money and ...
Analysts react to Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged ...
Sep 20, 2023 ... The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady ... dot plot." "Policymakers are clearly trying ... interest rate increases may be on the horizon.
Federal Funds Effective Rate (FEDFUNDS) | FRED | St. Louis Fed
Plot area. Text. LINE 1: Federal ... Rate [FEDFUNDS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. ... H.15 Selected Interest Rates Federal Interest Rate ...
Federal Reserve Meeting: Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged - The New ...
Sep 20, 2023 ... This chart, based on the Fed's so-called dot plot estimates, shows the range of forecasts for where interest rates could end up. The bulk of ...
Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rate just once this year as ...
3 days ago ... “It seems that, with the new dot plot [central bankers' economic projections], the committee is eager to prevent financial conditions from ...
Three-Factor Nominal Term Structure Model - Federal Reserve Board
Nov 5, 2019 ... In the case of the 10-year yield term premium, as can be seen in the top panel of the chart below, the newer estimate and the older estimate ...
Monetary Policy: What Are Its Goals? How ... - Federal Reserve Board
Jul 29, 2021 ... To assess the maximum-employment level that can be sustained, the FOMC considers ... factors that affect the structure and ... Banks may borrow and ...
Antitrust Division | Antitrust Division Banking Guidelines Review ...
Feb 17, 2022 ... Several prior commentators expressed support for broadening the factors considered by the Division when evaluating bank mergers. To what ...
Data - Federal Reserve Board
Data · Bank Assets and Liabilities · Bank Structure Data · Business Finance · Dealer Financing Terms · Exchange Rates and International Data · Financial Accounts.
The Great Moderation | Federal Reserve History
Chart 1 and Chart ... dot-com crash in 2000—suggest that the economy ... As for its causes, economists may disagree on the relative importance of different factors ...
Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday ...
... Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL, June 13, 2024. RELEASE TABLES. H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances. Table 5 ...
What are the Factors of Production
Factors of production are the ... Federal Reserve System effort around the growth of an inclusive economy ... Consider a pair of denim blue jeans. The denim is ...
Examining the factors driving high credit card interest rates ...
Aug 12, 2022 ... Figure 1: Risk Margin; Charge-Off Rate (Federal Reserve). Figure 1 is a line graph that shows the risk margin, or interest rate on. Subprime ...
2021 FDIC National Survey of Unbanked and Underbanked ...
Jul 24, 2023 ... The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the Congress to maintain stability and public ...

陞放電錶圖,又稱點陣圖,是美聯儲對經濟預測的一種顯示形式,對降息預測產生了重要影響。美聯儲的陞息預測會以一系列點來展示每位聯儲官員預計未來利率的水準。透過陞息點陣圖,市場可以清楚地看到各個官員對利率未來走勢的看法。例如,如果大多數點位於較低水平,則表明聯儲官員預計利率可能降低;反之,若多數點位於高水平,則預計利率可能上升。

點陣圖的產生往往會受到多個因素的影響,包括經濟指標、通脹壓力、就業數據等。因此,市場密切關注點陣圖的變化,以獲取對未來利率動向的洞察。當美聯儲公佈新的點陣圖時,投資者和分析師會參考其中的信息,調整其對聯儲未來政策行動的預期。

總的來說,陞放電錶圖是美聯儲對未來經濟及利率走勢的一個關鍵指標,透過觀察點陣圖的變化,可以更好地理解聯儲官員對降息預測的看法,並對市場產生重大影響。 2 3 4

What is the purpose of the dot plot in the Federal Reserve's economic projections?

點陣圖在美聯儲經濟預測中的作用是顯示各個聯邦儲備銀行官員對未來經濟走向和利率政策的看法和預測。每位官員透過點陣圖表達他們對未來短期和長期聯邦基金利率的預測,以及對經濟增長、通脹和就業市場狀況的看法。透過這種方式,市場和投資者可以更清晰地了解不同官員對經濟和貨幣政策的看法,幫助他們預測未來利率變化和相應的政策走向。

此外,點陣圖還能夠提供官員對經濟風險和不確定性的看法。如果點陣圖上的點更分散或移動,這表明官員對經濟前景存在更大的分歧或不確定性,這可能會導致後續的政策變化。因此,點陣圖不僅是一種對外透明度的工具,也是市場和投資者了解美聯儲政策取向和風險評估的重要指標。

點陣圖可以影響美聯儲的降息預測,因為它反映了各個官員對經濟狀況和利率政策的看法。如果點陣圖上的多數點顯示官員預期經濟狀況可能惡化,他們可能會傾向於降息以刺激經濟增長。反之,如果多數點顯示官員認為經濟增長穩定或通脹升高,可能會加息以緩和通脹壓力。因此,點陣圖是市場關注的重要因素之一,可以影響美聯儲未來的利率政策決策。

How do changes in the dot plot impact the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions?

點陣圖是美聯儲所謂的「點陣圖估計值」,顯示了未來利率可能的範圍,對美聯儲的利率決策具有重要影響。根據最近的報導 40,該圖顯示了各成員對未來利率可能走向的預測,這些預測反映了各成員對經濟形勢的看法。當點陣圖顯示大多數成員預計利率上升時,這可能意味著經濟增長強勁,通常伴隨較高的通膨風險。另一方面,如果點陣圖顯示利率預測下調,則可能代表成員對經濟增長或通膨水平存有擔憂。

美聯儲在制定其貨幣政策時通常會參考這些點陣圖 38,因為這些圖表提供了有價值的洞察,幫助決策者評估應對當前經濟環境的最佳方式。如果大量點陣圖指向利率上升,美聯儲可能會考慮加息來抑制通膨風險。相反,若多數點陣圖顯示對未來利率的預測調降,美聯儲可能會考慮降息以刺激經濟增長。

總結而言,點陣圖提供了市場參與者對美聯儲政策的洞察,並對美聯儲的利率決策產生重要影響,因為它們反映了對於經濟走向和通膨風險的預期。

What factors are considered when Federal Reserve officials create the dot plot?

The dot plot, also known as the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), is a chart that displays the anonymous interest rate projections of Federal Reserve officials for the upcoming years. When creating the dot plot, Federal Reserve officials consider several key factors that can influence their interest rate forecasts:

  1. Economic Indicators: Federal Reserve officials analyze a wide range of economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation rate, employment data, and consumer spending to assess the current state of the economy and make informed interest rate projections.

  2. Global Economic Conditions: Factors like international trade, geopolitical events, and global financial stability are also taken into account as they can impact the US economy and influence interest rate decisions.

  3. Market Expectations: Federal Reserve officials consider market expectations, including bond yields and stock market performance, to understand how investors are interpreting economic data and what their expectations are for future interest rates.

  4. Policy Goals: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets policy goals related to maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates. These goals play a crucial role in shaping interest rate projections in the dot plot.

  5. Uncertainty and Risks: The officials also assess uncertainties and risks like potential shocks to the economy, changes in fiscal policy, or unexpected events that could impact the economic outlook and interest rate decisions.

By taking into consideration these factors and more, Federal Reserve officials create the dot plot to provide transparency regarding their interest rate projections and to communicate their views on the future path of monetary policy. 43

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