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Fed更多官員淡化降息預期古爾斯比:市場反應令人吃驚| Anue鉅亨 ...
Dec 19, 2023 ... 芝加哥聯邦準備銀行總裁古爾斯比(Austan Goolsbee) 表示,市場上周對Fed 最新經濟預測的巨大反應,讓他感到驚訝。 ... 分析師預警:聯準會今年不降息美股下 ...
Stocks surge after Fed indicates three rate cuts still coming this year ...
Mar 20, 2024 ... The S&P topped 5200 for the first time Wednesday after the Federal Reserve said it was still targeting three rate cuts in 2024. Markets had ...
Fed meeting: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq end at all-time highs as ...
Mar 20, 2024 ... The Fed maintained its forecast of three rate cuts this year. ... The Federal Reserve will probably cut rates ... The U.S. stock market was rising ...
《美股》消息面:FED官員預測這時降息;美怪罪中大量出口
May 16, 2024 ... 【時報編譯柳繼剛綜合外電報導】消息面: ○美國亞特蘭大聯邦準備銀行行長Bostic認為,最新經濟數據確實反應通膨趨緩,聯準會今年底之前降息的可能性 ...
Fed傳聲筒估:火熱通膨數​​據導致Fed降息被推遲| Anue鉅亨- 美股 ...
Apr 11, 2024 ... Nick Timiraos 週三(10 日) 撰文指出,鑑於聯準會官員對1 月和2 月的通膨數據反應不足,3 月再度火熱的通膨數​​據可能會導致聯準會產生「過度反應」。
How Do Changing Interest Rates Affect the Stock Market? | U.S. Bank
May 8, 2024 ... ... stock prices retreated, and when rates fell, stocks reacted favorably. ... The Fed held the line on rates after its last rate hike in July 2023.
《美股》消息面:美祭關稅葉倫警告陸恐大動作回應;市場看9月降息
May 13, 2024 ... 4月美國消費者對未來1年的通膨率預測從3月份的3 ... 聯準會降息預期激勵,紐約期金及現貨金週三漲 ... 《美股》分析:美股牛市才開始;NVIDIA上看1500美元.
Fed sees three rate cuts in 2024 but a more shallow easing path ...
Mar 21, 2024 ... The Fed also left interest rates unchanged and released new quarterly economic projections that showed officials now expect the economy to grow ...
明年可能降息3次!鮑爾送大禮,美股大漲|天下雜誌
Dec 14, 2023 ... #鮑爾送聖誕大禮,聯準會討論了降息,美股大漲 ... 聯準會展現支持降息的意願,讓許多分析師驚訝。 ... 彭博經濟學家則認為,最新的預測反應了對軟著陸可能的 ...
Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) / X
... response to the ... Investors on Tenterhooks for Fed's Latest Rate-Cut Projections ... The U.S. labor market is returning to normal: Still strong, but less tight.
Fed meeting today: Live updates on March Fed rate decision
Mar 20, 2024 ... ... forecast for three interest rate cuts. During a news conference Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that a strong jobs market wouldn't deter the ...
FOMC 是什麼?3 月FOMC 會議預測今年降息幾次?FOMC 最新Fed ...
Mar 22, 2024 ... ... 對通膨降溫的信心增強才會降息。 Fed 在聲明中指出 ... 對年初的數據反應過度,但也不會忽視它們。 鮑 ... 另外值得注意的是,Fed 官員對2025 年利率的預測 ...
Morning Bid: Blunt Powell signals rate cut plans on ice | Reuters
Apr 17, 2024 ... After weeks of market trepidation about stalling U.S. disinflation amid still-brisk economic growth, Federal Reserve top brass are making clear ...
Investors temper US rate cut bets as Fed meeting looms | Reuters
Jan 24, 2024 ... ... will cut rates this year, a shift that is rippling through Treasury and foreign exchange markets even as stocks sit near record highs.
為何3月CPI對Fed降息影響甚鉅?聽「傳聲筒」解說便瞭| 國際焦點 ...
Apr 10, 2024 ... 他指出,Fed決策官員對2024年頭兩個月的CPI數據反應有多冷淡,就可能導致市場對3月CPI數據反應有多麼過度。甚至有華爾街分析師以誇大口吻形容,3月CPI ...
Stock market today: Stocks climb to new records after Fed sticks to ...
Mar 20, 2024 ... Stocks rose after the Fed's latest projection for interest rates showed the central bank sees three interest rate cuts by the end of this ...
伊朗夜擊以色列,中東戰爭是否進一步升級?油價飆高,降息延後 ...
Apr 14, 2024 ... 美國3 月CPI 再度高於預期,官員談話再度偏鷹,加上油價大漲,市場對Fed 降息預期再度延後,美股已連跌兩週,伊朗大規模攻擊以色列,中東緊張情勢是否 ...
S&P 500, Nasdaq end lower after Fed rate decision, Powell press ...
May 1, 2024 ... U.S. stocks closed mixed on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged, as expected, and indicated that while ...
Steady Fed outlook boosts stock market's hopes for coveted 'soft ...
Mar 21, 2024 ... While not all investors were confident the Fed will be able to deliver on its rate cut projections, Wednesday's market reaction was positive.
Fed降息生變?全球緊盯美CPI 這個關鍵數據多頭喊「逢低買進 ...
Mar 12, 2024 ... ... Fed官員對利率的預測,進而反映在下周貨幣決策會後隨「經濟預測摘要」(SEP)公布的「點狀圖」上。 美股對CPI報告兩種可能反應. 林根與哈特曼11日在致 ...
Federal Reserve sparks market rally as officials stick to rate cut plan
Mar 21, 2024 ... The central bank also sharply raised its forecast for US economic growth this year, while saying inflation would be slightly higher than ...
Fed meeting today: Interest rates hold steady with 3 cuts seen in '24
Mar 20, 2024 ... That's equivalent to three quarter-point rate cuts, an outlook that could further bolster a stock market that has hit new records since fall on ...
【美股新聞】聯準會官員對2024年利率預測分歧,梅斯特表示2024年 ...
May 21, 2024 ... 聯準會官員對2024年的利率政策持不同看法,部分官員認為應持續觀察通膨走勢,暫不適宜降息。
Wall Street stocks fall as markets weigh strong wage data, Fed ...
Apr 30, 2024 ... U.S. stocks ended lower on Tuesday as markets ... Chipmaker Broadcom raises annual revenue forecast ... Traders react to Fed rate announcement on ...
What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?
One issue has to do with the joint response of monetary policy and the stock market to economic news. As noted above, ten funds rate cuts in the pre-1994 part ...
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2023 to 2033 | Congressional ...
Feb 15, 2023 ... ... market, and the effects of fiscal policy. In response, the Federal Reserve sharply raised interest rates. Output showed modest growth during ...
Fed leaves interest rates unchanged, delaying anticipated rate cuts ...
Jan 31, 2024 ... Speaking to reporters on Wednesday afternoon, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation has eased noticeably over the past year but ...
What did the Fed do in response to the COVID-19 crisis? | Brookings
HOW DID THE FED SUPPORT THE U.S. ECONOMY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS? Easing Monetary Policy. Federal funds rate: The Fed cut its target for the federal funds rate, ...
Federal Reserve minutes: Officials saw inflation cooling but were ...
Jan 3, 2024 ... ... market was cooling. In response, the officials chose to leave their key interest rate unchanged for the third straight time and signaled ...
The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's ...
Jan 14, 2015 ... ... US model may overstate the influence of longer-term interest rates ... (2013c), “The Response of Equity Prices to Movement in Long-term Interest ...
Interest Rates Likely to Return Toward Pre-Pandemic Levels When ...
Apr 10, 2023 ... As emerging market economies adopt more advanced technology, total factor productivity growth is expected to converge to the pace of advanced ...
How Interest Rates Affect the U.S. Markets
1 While it usually takes at least 12 months for a change in this interest rate to have a widespread economic impact, the stock market's response to a change is ...
Global Economy to Slow Further Amid Signs of Resilience and ...
Jan 30, 2023 ... Nine out of 10 advanced economies will likely decelerate. US growth will slow to 1.4 percent in 2023 as Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes work ...
Bonds and the Yield Curve | Explainer | Education | RBA
It helps to determine how actual and expected changes in the policy interest rate (the cash rate in Australia), along with changes in other monetary policy ...
The Great Recession and Its Aftermath | Federal Reserve History
... market economies, which acted to depress interest rates globally (Bernanke 2005). Others point to the growth of the market for mortgage-backed securities as ...
The impact of Federal Reserve policy on the Fed's financial ...
Oct 18, 2023 ... However, the federal funds rate by itself does not directly affect most firms and households in the economy. Instead, monetary policy is ...
The Economic Outlook for 2023 to 2033 in 16 Charts ...
Feb 21, 2023 ... ... market. The ... Federal Reserve reduces interest rates from ... The Federal Funds Rate and Interest Rates on Long-Term Treasury Securities.
Speech by Vice Chair Jefferson on U.S. economic outlook and ...
Oct 9, 2023 ... "What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?" Journal of Finance, vol. 60 (June), pp. 1221–57. Campbell, John Y ...
The Illusion of Knowledge
Sep 8, 2022 ... I imagine that for most money managers, the process goes like this: “I predict the economy will do A. If A happens, interest rates should do B.
Federal Reserve Focuses Monetary Policy on Fighting Inflation ...
Summer 2024 Investment Outlook – July 23 · Markets not surprised by Fed news · How long before rate cuts occur? · Reducing the Fed's balance sheet · U.S. economy ...
January 2024 Fed Meeting: Rates Hold Steady | J.P. Morgan
Feb 1, 2024 ... The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and described an uncertain path toward rate cuts in 2024. Read more about the implications of ...
Economic & Market Update | J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Mar 31, 2024 ... Late last year, the Federal Reserve sparked investor ... However, they cut their forecast for rate cuts in 2025 from four cuts ... Thanks to the ...
Review of the Federal Reserve's Supervision and Regulation of ...
Apr 28, 2023 ... This report examines the failure of SVB, its holding company Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group. (SVBFG), and the oversight provided by the ...
Investment Research Library | Morningstar
Explore economic analysis, interest rates, and their potential impact on the financial landscape in our 2024 US Financial Health Report. Q2 2024 Markets ...
Market Outlook 2024 | J.P. Morgan Research
Dec 13, 2023 ... ... Fed's decision to rapidly hike interest rates. However, equity markets advanced in 2023, recovering some lost ground. While stocks have ...
US Economic Forecast Q1 2024 | Deloitte Insights
Mar 20, 2024 ... The unemployment rate peaks at 3.9% in 2024 before gradually declining, thanks to persistently tight labor markets. Major investments prompted ...
Weekly market commentary | BlackRock Investment Institute
5 days ago ... U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Canada and European Central Bank cut interest rates as ...

美股對Fed降息預測的反應一直是市場關注的焦點。根據最新資訊,聯邦準備銀行官員對於2024年的降息預期存在分歧,部分官員認為應持續觀察通膨走勢,暫不適宜降息 24。這種不確定性也在股市中產生了一些波動。在過去的幾次聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議中,不同的利率政策預測導致市場情緒起伏。

根據CNN的報導,當聯邦儲備系統表示仍會在2024年實施三次降息時,股市便出現了上漲的趨勢 3。然而,鮑爾的謹慎立場和對通膨的擔憂可能讓市場受到一定程度的影響。不僅如此,由於近期通膨數據高於預期,且聯邦準備銀行的一些舉措也引發了市場的不確定情緒 18

因此,投資者應對市場波動保持警惕,密切關注聯邦準備銀行官員的表態和相關經濟數據的變化。建議投資者在制定投資策略時保持冷靜,並根據市場動向和個人風險偏好進行適當的調整。在不確定性增加的情況下,多元化投資組合和長期投資策略仍然是有效的風險管理方法。

How do stock markets typically respond to Federal Reserve interest rate cut predictions?

美股通常會對聯邦儲備降息預測做出反應,這種反應可能是預測性的,尤其是當市場受到不確定性或經濟波動影響時。根據財政預算和經濟展望,當聯邦儲備對利率政策進行調整時,股市通常會表現出反應 27。例如,當聯邦儲備對降息做出決定時,股市可能會在預期的刺激效應下上漲;反之,如果市場認為降息可能不如預期,可能會導致市場波動加劇。

此外,當通脹壓力減緩並且經濟增長放緩時,聯邦儲備的舉措可能會對市場產生影響。例如,在某些情況下,聯邦儲備可能會推遲對利率進行調整,從而影響了市場預期 28

股市對於聯邦儲備利率降息預測的反應受多種因素影響,包括市場預期、經濟數據和全球事件等。因此,要理解股市對於聯邦儲備政策舉措的反應,需要密切關注相關的經濟數據和聯邦儲備官員的表態。

What factors influence stock market reactions to the Federal Reserve's interest rate predictions?

美股對Fed降息預測的反應受多個因素影響,包括通貨政策、經濟數據和市場預期等。當聯邦準備局(Fed)預測要降低利率時,這可能意味著經濟面臨挑戰,因此股市可能會對其做出消極反應。然而,股市對Fed降息的反應可能不僅僅取決於降息本身,還受到其他因素的影響。

一些因素包括[^\32^]:

  • 經濟數據:股市通常會密切關注經濟數據,特別是通脹率、就業數據和經濟增長等。這些數據的強弱將影響投資者對經濟健康狀況的看法,從而影響股市表現。
  • 貨幣政策:Fed的貨幣政策決定對經濟和市場有重大影響。當Fed改變利率時,這可能會導致市場波動,進而影響股市。
  • 預期和情緒:市場的預期和情緒也是股市反應的重要因素。投資者的恐慌或樂觀情緒可能會促使股市出現劇烈波動。

綜合這些因素,股市對Fed降息預測作出的反應是複雜的,投資者應該密切關注各種因素,以制定相應的投資策略。

Can the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve interest rate cut predictions be used as an indicator of future economic trends?

The stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve interest rate cut predictions can indeed be considered as a potential indicator of future economic trends. Investors closely monitor such reactions as they can provide insights into how the market perceives the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and their impact on the economy.

According to a speech by Vice Chair Jefferson, the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve policy changes can be a subject of study to understand market dynamics 39. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's focus on monetary policy adjustments, such as fighting inflation, can influence market expectations and reactions 41.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady in a January 2024 meeting, while describing an uncertain path towards rate cuts, reflects the complexities and uncertainties surrounding future economic conditions 42. This uncertainty can directly impact the stock market's response to interest rate cut predictions and serve as a barometer for future economic trends.

In conclusion, while the stock market's reaction to Federal Reserve interest rate cut forecasts can be informative, it is essential to consider various other economic indicators and factors before making investment decisions. The market's response is just one piece of the puzzle in understanding the broader economic landscape and should be analyzed in conjunction with other relevant data points for a comprehensive outlook on future trends.

How do investors interpret and assess the impact of Federal Reserve interest rate cut predictions on stock markets?

投資者對聯邦儲備降息預測對股市的影響進行解讀和評估時,通常會考慮多方面的因素。這些預測可能對股市產生直接和間接的影響,影響力取決於多個因素。

股市對聯邦儲備降息預測的反應

投資者通常將聯邦儲備降息預測視為對經濟的信號,特別是對通脹和就業市場的信號。當預測出現時,股市可能會立即對此做出反應。例如,如果預測顯示聯邦儲備將降息,市場可能出現積極的反應,股價可能上揚。相反,如果預測表明不會有降息,市場可能會出現負面反應,股價可能下跌。

這種反應的背後通常是因為降息預測可能會影響企業的成本和貸款利率,進而影響其盈利能力和投資決策。投資者會密切關注這些變化,並尋找投資機會或進行風險管理。

經濟及國際機構的觀點

根據 J.P. Morgan Asset Management提供的經濟和市場更新報告,聯邦儲備的政策決定可能會影響投資者的信心和行為 43。這家機構預測了2025年的降息次數,這種預期可能會影響投資者對未來經濟走向的看法。

同時,黑石集團投資研究院的每周市場評論報告指出,市場對於利率變化的反應可能會體現在股市表現上。這些評論可能有助於投資者更好地理解市場對聯邦儲備決策的反應。

總的來說,投資者應該密切關注聯邦儲備的政策預測,並結合經濟數據和國際市場動向來評估對股市可能產生的影響,以制定適合自己的投資策略。

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