Pro
Pro
Pro Search
Based on 42 sources
Found 42 search sources
鷹中帶鴿! Fed今年只會降息1碼鮑爾強調一切看數據
3 days ago ... ... 通膨率預測則上修0.1個百分點,為2.3%。 鮑爾說,所有決策官員都同意的一件事,就是決策將取決於數據,實際上是在暗示利率點狀圖與通膨預估的重要性 ...
The Fed - FAQs
Jan 5, 2024 ... How often does the Federal Reserve collect and publish policymakers' economic projections? ... The longer-run projections are the rates of GDP ...
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2023 to 2033 | Congressional ...
Feb 15, 2023 ... All Federal Reserve officials forecast a 2 percent rate of inflation in the longer term. ... factors affecting CBO's projections of interest rates ...
Fed 6月聲明全文+最新經濟預測
Jun 14, 2023 ... 6 月決策聲明全文近期指標顯示經濟活動持續以適度的步伐擴張。就業成長近幾個月保持穩健,且失業率仍保持在低點。通膨仍居高不下。
Monetary Policy: Stabilizing Prices and Output
Central banks use tools such as interest rates to adjust the supply of money to keep the economy humming. ... to promise low inflation to keep down inflation ...
What are inflation expectations? Why do they matter? | Brookings
How can the Fed influence inflation expectations? One way is to use its monetary policy tools – particularly short-term interest rates – to achieve and maintain ...
一文掌握Fed重點決策:年內降息三次、通膨仍太高、放慢QT近了 ...
Mar 21, 2024 ... 最新利率點狀圖顯示,官員對2024 年利率落點預測中位數是4.6%,即聯準會 ... 今年失業率預測較先前預測小幅下調至4%,而2024 年的PCE 通膨中位數預測 ...
Policy Rules and How Policymakers Use ... - Federal Reserve Board
Mar 8, 2018 ... ... policy rate reacts to the inflation and resource ... policymakers may prefer to adjust rates sluggishly in response to economic conditions.
An Update to the Economic Outlook: 2023 to 2025 | Congressional ...
Jul 26, 2023 ... Economic growth slows and then picks up. The growth of real (inflation-adjusted) gross domestic product (GDP) slows to a 0.4 percent annual rate ...
舊金山聯儲總裁戴莉稱,今年降息三次是「合理」基本預測
Apr 2, 2024 ... 戴莉3月與其他Fed決策者們投票決定將短期利率目標區間維持在5.25%-5.5%不變,以保持通膨下行壓力,通膨率已從2022年中觸及的高點回落,但仍高於Fed 2%的 ...
Federal Reserve Meeting: Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged - The New ...
Sep 20, 2023 ... But policymakers also released a fresh set of economic projections suggesting that they still expect to make another rate increase before the ...
Consumer Price Index Frequently Asked Questions : U.S. Bureau of ...
Mar 15, 2024 ... These adjustments prevent inflation-induced increases in tax rates. In addition, eligibility criteria for millions of food stamp recipients, and ...
Fed 對貨幣政策架構檢視情形之分析—從2%通膨目標論起
貨. 幣傳遞機制已由單向傳遞轉為綿密網絡型. 態,除反映當前經濟金融之快速變化,亦為. 近年央行肩負職責與其政策影響力提高之證. 據。而在當前低利率環境,通膨率長期偏低.
FRB: Speech, Bernanke— The Logic of Monetary Policy ...
Dec 2, 2004 ... The Federal Reserve does not explicitly link policy actions to forecasts, but projections ... would have the Federal Reserve adjust the growth of ...
GAO-20-195G, Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide: Best ...
Mar 1, 2020 ... ... Inflation Adjustments. 96. Selecting the Proper Indexes. 97 ... federal government for developing, managing, and evaluating program cost estimates ...
調查:儘管通膨升溫Fed可能仍堅持今年3次降息| Anue鉅亨- 美股雷達
Mar 15, 2024 ... 大多數受訪者認為,Fed 官員將在 ... 經濟學家預測,決策者將把今年美國國內生產毛額(GDP) 年增率預期從1.4% 上調至1.7%,並將通膨預期從2.4% 上調至2.5%。
Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged at Meeting and Signals 3 ...
Dec 13, 2023 ... Federal Reserve policymakers left rates unchanged and projected three quarter-point rate cuts in 2024 as their inflation outlook improved.
The Fed Explained: What the Central Bank Does
... adjusting the level of short-term interest rates up in response to the observed and expected future paths for the unemployment rate and inflation. However ...
鷹中帶鴿! Fed今年只會降息1碼鮑爾強調一切看數據| 好房網News
3 days ago ... ... 通膨率預測則上修0.1個百分點,為2.3%。 鮑爾說,所有決策官員都同意的一件事,就是決策將取決於數據,實際上是在暗示利率點狀圖與通膨預估的重要性 ...
How I (and US policymakers) got inflation wrong
Apr 13, 2022 ... The Federal Reserve, which is tasked with managing the money supply to keep inflation ... When I made my prediction, I cited the Federal Reserve's ...
Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ...
... expected to prevail when an economy is at full strength and inflation is stable. ... factors influencing the natural rate of interest. Holston, Laubach, and ...
FED官員梅斯特:通膨預期將決定美國利率後續動向- MoneyDJ理財網
May 15, 2024 ... ... FED最有可能的下一步仍然是降息而不是升息,但如果通膨在未來幾個月停止下跌、政策制定者應該採取更為中性的利率立場。 梅斯特指出,美國通膨率若繼續 ...
Fed Meeting: What to Expect on Interest Rates - The New York Times
Sep 19, 2023 ... Fed Creeps Toward Next Phase in Its Fight Against Inflation. The Federal Reserve is unlikely to declare victory this week. But investors will ...
李全順: 2024-4月全球經濟趨勢追蹤與預測-【FED今年可能不再升息 ...
Apr 8, 2024 ... 這可以清楚看出FED在第二季度可能不會急於調整利率水準。FED官員的講話也一致傳達了這一資訊,即在確認通膨不會重新上揚之前,FED不會實施降息政策。
Fed Chair Powell sees progress on inflation, though not quickly ...
Jun 13, 2023 ... ... expected the policymakers to signal just one more rate increase this year. In their new projections, the members of the Fed's interest-rate ...
The Fed - December 13, 2023: FOMC Projections materials ...
Dec 13, 2023 ... PCE inflation and core PCE inflation are the percentage rates of change in, respectively, the price index for personal consumption ...
The Fed - What is inflation and how does the Federal Reserve ...
Sep 9, 2016 ... When evaluating the rate of inflation, Federal Reserve policymakers also take the following steps: ... policy based on its best forecast of ...
Why the Fed Targets a 2 Percent Inflation Rate | St. Louis Fed
Jan 16, 2019 ... To meet the price stability objective, Federal Reserve policymakers target an inflation rate of 2 percent. ... inflation trends: Core PCE ...
Fed leaves rates unchanged, sees only one 2024 cut despite ...
4 days ago ... Powell's characterization of the inflation projections as "kind of conservative" indicated the Fed ... Covers the U.S. Federal Reserve, monetary ...
Monetary Policy: What Are Its Goals? How ... - Federal Reserve Board
Jul 29, 2021 ... The FOMC judges that low and stable inflation at the rate of 2 percent ... factors may change over time and may not be directly measurable.
6 Ways The Fed's Interest Rate Decisions Impact Your Money ...
7 days ago ... The Fed's decisions influence where banks and other lenders set interest rates. Higher Fed interest rates translate to more expensive borrowing ...
The Factors Influencing the High Cost of Insurance for Consumers
Nov 2, 2023 ... ... Federal Reserve hiked interest rates to fight inflation, and equity markets reacted negatively to both rising inflation and interest rates.
The Most Important Factors Affecting Mortgage Rates
How inflation, economic growth, Federal Reserve activity, and the housing market affect mortgage rates.
The Fed - How does the Federal Reserve affect inflation and ...
Aug 27, 2020 ... The primary tool the Federal Reserve uses to conduct monetary policy is the federal funds rate—the rate that banks pay for overnight borrowing ...
Inflation 101: Why Does the Fed Care about Inflation?
At such high inflation rates, the economy tends to break down. The Federal Reserve, like other central banks, was established to foster economic prosperity and ...
The Fed - Federal Open Market Committee
The Federal Reserve controls the three tools of monetary policy--open market operations, the discount rate, and reserve requirements. The Board of Governors ...
Federal Reserve Tools for Managing Rates and Reserves
Empirical analysis supports our model and can explain recent puzzles in money market rates. Key words: banks, balance sheet costs, liquidity, Federal Reserve, ...
How the Federal Reserve Controls Inflation
Oct 24, 2022 ... These tools include the federal funds rate, open market operations, and the discount rate. Managing people's inflation expectations is another ...
How Do Governments Fight Inflation?
... price controls are an ineffective tool for managing inflation.345 ... tools through which the U.S. central bank, the Federal Reserve, fights inflation ...
Federal Reserve Focuses Monetary Policy on Fighting Inflation ...
3 days ago ... ... Management. The CME FedWatch Tool, which analyzes the probabilities of fed fund rate changes based on interest rate trader actions ...
How Fiscal Restraint Can Help Fight Inflation
Nov 21, 2022 ... ... Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker exemplified the challenges of controlling inflation. ... The Fed had to raise rates sharply to rein in ...
The Great Inflation: Volcker Taught Us Many Lessons | St. Louis Fed
Jan 1, 2005 ... President's Message: Volcker's Handling of the Great Inflation Taught Us Much ... Louis Fed or Federal Reserve System. For the latest insights ...

Fed的決策官員調整通膨率預測主要依賴於數據和相關經濟指標。根據過去的報導,通膨率預測是決策官員們在制定貨幣政策時十分重視的因素之一。他們會密切關注諸如利率點狀圖、通膨趨勢、就業數據、經濟增長率等數據,來評估目前和未來的經濟環境。

根據其中一則報導指出,Fed主席鮑爾指出,決策官員們一致同意決策將取決於數據 2。他們還會根據長期的經濟預測和通膨率來調整政策 3。另一報導提到,Fed在最新經濟預測中預計通膨率將保持在2%的長期平均水平 4

此外,Fed的官員們也通常會通過利用貨幣政策工具,特別是短期利率,來實現和維持穩定的通膨預期 7。同時,他們也會參考其他機構和經濟學家對未來通膨率的預測,以制定相應的政策 17

總的來說,Fed的決策官員會通過綜合考慮各種數據、前景和因素來調整通膨率預測,以確保實施適當的貨幣政策,維持經濟穩定。

How do Federal Reserve policymakers adjust inflation rate projections?

聯邦儲備局的決策官員調整通脹率預測是一個複雜而重要的過程,通常會參考多種因素以做出最佳決定。根據 28,當評估通脹率時,聯邦儲備局的政策制定者會採取多項步驟。他們會運用最佳的預測,制定對未來經濟走勢的政策。值得一提的是,為了達到價格穩定的目標,聯邦儲備局的政策制定者會將通脹率目標設定為2%。這很大程度上可以在 29中看到。在 27的資料中,可以看到PCE通脹率和核心PCE通脹率都是他們考慮的重要指標之一。

為了調整通脹率預測,聯邦儲備局的決策官員會密切關注經濟數據、就業市場狀況、物價指數變化等方面的變化。他們也會考慮全球經濟狀況、貿易政策以及地緣政治風險等因素。透過分析這些資訊,決策官員可以更好地了解經濟現況,進而調整通脹率預測以制定適當的貨幣政策。

加上聯邦儲備局主席Jerome Powell對通脹預測的描述「有點保守」,這暗示了他們對通脹水準的樂觀預期,也會在調整通脹率預測時扮演關鍵角色。在 30中提到,儘管預計Fed將保持利率不變,但對2024年的減息只會有一次,這反映了他們對未來經濟環境和通脹率變化的看法。綜合這些因素,聯邦儲備局的決策官員將依據最新數據以及對未來經濟發展的預測做出調整,以確保通脹率控制在他們認為符合經濟穩定的範圍內。

What factors influence the Federal Reserve's inflation rate adjustments?

The Federal Reserve adjusts its inflation rate forecasts based on a variety of factors that impact the economy. These factors are carefully considered by the Fed's decision-makers to make informed adjustments:

  1. Economic Indicators: The Federal Reserve closely monitors economic indicators such as employment levels, GDP growth, and consumer spending. These indicators provide valuable insights into the overall health of the economy and help the Fed assess the need for inflation rate adjustments.

  2. Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve uses interest rates as a tool to control inflation. By raising or lowering interest rates, the Fed can influence borrowing, spending, and investment, which in turn affects inflation rates 32.

  3. Market Expectations: The Federal Reserve also considers market expectations when adjusting inflation rate forecasts. Market reactions to factors such as changes in interest rates, economic data releases, and geopolitical events can influence the Fed's decisions.

  4. Global Economic Conditions: The Fed takes into account global economic conditions and their impact on the U.S. economy when forecasting inflation rates. Factors such as international trade, currency exchange rates, and economic stability in other countries can all affect inflation in the U.S.

  5. Monetary Policy Goals: The Federal Reserve's dual mandate is to achieve maximum employment and stable prices. Inflation rate adjustments are made in pursuit of these goals, with a target inflation rate of 2 percent 31.

By considering these factors and their interplay, the Fed's decision-makers are able to adjust inflation rate forecasts to support the health and stability of the economy.

What are the tools used by the Federal Reserve to manage inflation rates?

The Federal Reserve has several tools at its disposal to manage inflation rates effectively. One of the primary tools is the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight 35. By adjusting the federal funds rate, the Fed can influence borrowing and spending in the economy, thereby impacting inflation.

Another crucial tool used by the Federal Reserve is open market operations, through which the Fed buys or sells government securities on the open market to influence the reserves that depository institutions hold at the Fed 37. By buying securities, the Fed injects money into the banking system, increasing lending and economic activity, while selling securities has the opposite effect.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve utilizes the discount rate, which is the interest rate charged by the Fed to depository institutions for short-term loans 37. By changing the discount rate, the Fed can encourage or discourage borrowing, affecting inflation levels.

Moreover, managing people's inflation expectations is essential in controlling inflation 39. By communicating clearly and consistently about its monetary policy decisions, the Federal Reserve can shape how individuals and businesses anticipate future inflation, influencing their spending and investment behavior.

By utilizing these tools in a strategic and coordinated manner, the decision-makers at the Federal Reserve can adjust inflation rate forecasts and work towards maintaining price stability in the economy.

Share
Copy